Nota prèvia: perdoneu que, per una vegada, el post no pugui ser en català; ja no dono/donem més de mi/nosaltres i només arribem a preparar el nostre a Bonn a partir del dilluns vinent!
Let us announce and specially invite you to the following side event in Bonn UNFCCC (ADP 2-9):
Mon, 01 Jun 2015 / 15:00-16:30h / Room: Berlin
1st PART (15:00-16:05h)
QUANTIFIED PROPOSAL – BASED ON CRITERIA OF CLIMATE JUSTICE PER CAPITA – OF THE DISTRIBUTION AMONG THE UNFCCC STATE PARTIES OF THE EMISSIONS MITIGATION GLOBAL OBJECTIVE DEFINED BY SCENARIO RCP2.6 OF THE IPCC’S AR5
Martin Khor (South Centre Director):
WHY THIS PROPOSAL IS INTERESTING?
Josep Xercavins & Olga Alcaraz (professors UPC):
Rep. Norway delegation:
REACTION TO THE PROPOSAL
[…] the major obstacle in international negotiations on climate change is, and always has been, reaching an agreement on how much each state party of the UNFCCC should contribute to the immense efforts (which are both essential and imminent) to reduce GHG emissions, particularly CO2 […]
[…] we wanted put forward a proposal that, developed around strong and clear criteria, could offer results within this framework, and which would be able to help the international community to achieve a much-needed positive final agreement at Paris 2015
And we know now that: “In order to achieve the objective/assumption of not exceeding a 2°C rise in surface temperature […], from all the RCP’s (Representative Concentration Pathways) considered, only one of them have a “likely” probability to achieve the objective: the RCP2.6 of IPCC’s AR5”.
[…] the most important element of RCP2.6 is not so much its trajectory over time, but rather the surface that it defines (and which many other trajectories could define), and which represent the exact global carbon budget that can still be released into the atmosphere in accordance with the criterion of not exceeding an increase of 2°C of the Earth’s surface temperature, when compared with that of the pre-industrial era: approximately 1000GtCO2. […]
The main result of applying our MCJ model is determining the quantified distribution of possible future emissions for each of the state parties if we attend to the criterion of climate justice per capita that has been accepted, developed and computerised.
So, in summary, we talk about:
“The Carbon budgets that will prevent the average Temperature
of the Earth’s surface from increasing by more than 2°C when
compared with the temperature of the pre-industrial era”
Josep Xercavins & Olga Alcaraz (professors UPC -Technical University of Catalonia)
Xerca; 25 de maig 2015